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Unrecognized introductions of SARS-CoV-2 into the state of Georgia shaped the early epidemic
Ahmed Babiker; Michael A. Martin; Charles Marvil; Stephanie Bellman; Robert A. Petit III; Heath L Bradley; Victoria D. Stittleburg; Jessica M Ingersoll; Colleen S. Kraft; Timothy D Read; Jesse J. Waggoner; Katia Koelle; Anne Piantadosi.
Affiliation
  • Ahmed Babiker; Emory University
  • Michael A. Martin; Department of Biology, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA
  • Charles Marvil; Emory University School of Medicine
  • Stephanie Bellman; Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
  • Robert A. Petit III; Emory University School of Medicine
  • Heath L Bradley; Emory University School of Medicine
  • Victoria D. Stittleburg; Emory University School of Medicine
  • Jessica M Ingersoll; Emory University School of Medicine
  • Colleen S. Kraft; Emory University School of Medicine
  • Timothy D Read; Emory University School of Medicine
  • Jesse J. Waggoner; Emory University School of Medicine
  • Katia Koelle; Emory University
  • Anne Piantadosi; Emory University School of Medicine
Preprint in En | PREPRINT-MEDRXIV | ID: ppmedrxiv-21262615
ABSTRACT
In early 2020, as SARS-CoV-2 diagnostic and surveillance responses ramped up, attention focused primarily on returning international travelers. Here, we build on existing studies characterizing early patterns of SARS-CoV-2 spread within the U.S. by analyzing detailed clinical, molecular, and viral genomic data from the state of Georgia through March 2020. We find evidence for multiple early introductions into Georgia, despite relatively sparse sampling. Most sampled sequences likely stemmed from a single introduction from Asia at least two weeks prior to the states first detected infection. Our analysis of sequences from domestic travelers demonstrates widespread circulation of closely-related viruses in multiple U.S. states by the end of March 2020. Our findings indicate that the early attention directed towards identifying SARS-CoV-2 in returning international travelers may have led to a failure to recognize locally circulating infections for several weeks, and points towards a critical need for rapid and broadly-targeted surveillance efforts in the future.
License
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Full text: 1 Collection: 09-preprints Database: PREPRINT-MEDRXIV Type of study: Prognostic_studies Language: En Year: 2021 Document type: Preprint
Full text: 1 Collection: 09-preprints Database: PREPRINT-MEDRXIV Type of study: Prognostic_studies Language: En Year: 2021 Document type: Preprint